PENGARUH KETERBUKAAN PERDAGANGAN, KORUPSI, DAN STABILITAS POLITIK TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI NEGARA ASEAN-6
Keywords:
Economic Growth, Trade Openness, Corruption, Political Stability, ASEAN-6.Abstract
Growth in the ASEAN region shows that six of the eleven member countries are still in the middle-income category with an average GDP per capita of around USD 4.656 and stagnant economic growth for more than a decade, amid relatively high trade openness and poor institutional quality. This study analyzes the impact of trade openness, corruption, and political stability on economic growth in ASEAN-6 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Cambodia, Philippines, and Vietnam). This study uses secondary panel data from the six countries for the period 2013–2023, with economic growth (GDP per capita) as the dependent variable and the trade openness ratio, corruption perception index, and political stability index as the independent variables. The analysis was conducted using panel data regression with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) approach. The result show that simultaneously, the three variables have a significant effect on the economic growth of ASEAN-6. Partially, trade openness and the corruption perception index have a positive significant effect, which means that increased international trade activity and a decrease in corruption level can drive economic growth. Meanwhile, political stability has a positive but insignificant effect. Thus, the six countries need to maintain and expand trade openness, strengthen efforts to eradicate corruption by increasing the transparency and accountability of public institutions, and maintain policy consistency in order to create an environment conducive to investment and sustainable economic development.
Downloads
References
Acemoglu, D. (2003). Root Causes: A Historical Approach to Assessing the Role of Institutions in Economic Development. Finance & Development, 40(2).
Acemoglu, D. dan Robinson, J. (2012). Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty. United States: Crown Publishers
Acemoglu, D., Naidu, S., Restrepo, P., & Robinson, J.A. (2019). Democracy does cause growth? Journal of Political Economy, 127(1), 47-100.
Adji, G., & Yasa, N. (2022). Analisis Pengaruh Keterbukaan Ekonomi, Investasi, dan Jumlah UMKM terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Udayana, 11(9), 3577-3598. doi:10.24843/EEP.2022.v11.i09.p10
Admin. (2022). Masa Depan Demokrasi Malaysia. Yogyakarta: Department of International Relations Faculty of Psychology and Socio-Cultural Sciences Universitas Islam Indonesia.
Aghion, P., Alesina, A., & Trebbi, F. (2008). Democracy, technology, and growth. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
Aidt, T. S. (2003). Economic analysis of corruption: a survey. The Economic Journal, 113(491), F632–F652.
ASEAN Secretariat. (2023). ASEAN Economic Integration Brief. Jakarta: ASEAN Secretariat.https://asean.org/wpcontent/uploads/2023/07/AEIB_No.13_July2023_final.pdf. [diakses 21 Maret 2025]
ASEAN Secretariat. (2023). ASEAN Statistical Yearbook 2023. Jakarta: ASEAN Secretariat.
Asian Development Bank. (2024). Cambodia’s Economic Diversification A Country Diagnostic Study. Filipina: Asian Development Bank.
Baek, N., Chahande, K., dkk. (2023). ASEAN-5: Further Harnessing the Benefits of Regional Integration amid Fragmentation Risks. International Monetary Fund, 2023(191). https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400253706.001
BBC News. (2020). Demonstrasi Thailand: Mengapa kaum muda memimpin aksi besar-besaran dan bersedia melawan hukum?. URL: https://www.bbc.com/indonesia/dunia-54566339.
Beyene, A. B. (2022). Governance quality and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: the dynamic panel model. Journal of Economic and Administrative Science, vol. 40(2): 404-418. DOI: 10.1108/JEAS-08-2021-0156
Chang, H.J. (2007). Institutional Change and Economic Development (1st ed.). United Nation University Press.
CNN Indonesia. (2025). Mengenal Skandal 1MDB Malaysia, Salah Satu Korupsi Terbesar di Dunia. URL: https://www.cnnindonesia.com/internasional/20250226082928-106-1202503/mengenal-skandal-1mdb-malaysia-salah-satu-korupsi-terbesar-di-dunia/1.
Widyaningsih, T. (2022). Pengaruh Korupsi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi (Studi Kasus: Tujuh Negara Asean 2016-2020).
Wooldridge, J. M. (2018). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach, Seventh Edition. US: Cengage Learning Inc.
World Bank. (2017). WPS8168: Trade Openness and Growth. URL: https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/900341502818068705/pdf/WPS8168.pdf
World Bank. (2020). Anticorruption Fact Sheet. URL: https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/factsheet/2020/02/19/anticorruption-fact-sheet
World Bank. (2022). Global Program on Anticorruption for Development. URL: https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/anticorruption-for-development
World Bank. (2022). Trade Openness and Economic Development. URL: https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/trade/overview
World Bank. (2023). World Bank Group country classifications by income level for FY24 (July 1, 2023- June 30, 2024). URL: https://blogs-worldbank-org.translate.goog/en/opendata/new-world-bank-group-country-classifications-income-level fy24?_x_tr_sl=en&_x_tr_tl=id&_x_tr_hl=id&_x_tr_pto=tc
World Bank. (2024). World Development Indicators. https://data.worldbank.org/ [diakses 6 Oktober 2024]
Wulandari, L. M., & Saifudin, S. (2019). Pengaruh Perdagangan Internasional dan Investasi terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Pada Tahun 2007-2017. E-jurnal Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Tidar, 04(02), 119-127.
Yanikkaya, Halit. 2003. Trade openness and economic growth: A cross-country empirical investigation. Journal of Development Economics 72 (1): 57–89.
Yustia, A., Puspitasari, A., Ramadhan, R. K., Mashudi. (2024). Analisis Hubungan Antara Stabilitas Politik Dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia Pada Tahun 2021-2022. Jurnal Media Akademik (JMA), Vol.2, No.12: 1-8. DOI: 10.62281
Yustika, A. E. (2012). Ekonomi Kelembagaan Paradigma, Teori, dan Kebijakan. Jakarta: Erlangga.
Zebua, M. K. & Idris (2024). Analisis Pengaruh Keterbukaan Ekonomi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia. Media Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan (MedREP) 1 (3): 504-513.





